Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt v NEC Nijmegen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 19:00 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 61.98%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -7.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.53%61.91%62.03%64.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.55%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.57%5.39cote équitable
EV +9.56%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.45%18.50%18.47%20.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.035.005.9023.09%19.90%20.00%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.45%5.14cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.298%
Kelly +0.369%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.25%19.59%19.50%21.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.714.705.2223.81%21.21%21.28%19.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bodø/Glimt (Local) : 61.98% ; NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur) : 18.57% ; Match nul : 19.45%. Pour NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.39. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.90, soit une espérance positive de +9.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.70%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.45%EV +9.56%E +1.62%K +1.95%G +0.187%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.85%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.52%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +0.277%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -0.651%E -0.122%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -0.780%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -2.51%E -0.478%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:53
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:49
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.44%E -0.661%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.58%EV -4.18%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.57%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.37%E -0.848%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.59%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:44
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.24%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.62%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:54
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:49
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV +1.17%E +0.224%K +0.278%G +0.003%4.6%2026-08-25 16:44
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006%4.9%2026-08-25 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.25%EV +1.56%E +0.298%K +0.369%G +0.006%4.9%2026-08-25 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:09
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -8.56%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:49
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.01%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.40%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 18:44
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -9.94%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -18.29%E -4.35%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.87%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.51%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -3.94%E -2.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.73%E -0.545%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:44
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -18.29%E -4.16%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -4.67%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -19.59%E -4.52%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -12.45%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%0.3%2026-08-25 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-25 18:54