Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Slavia Praha v Arsenal

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Slavia Praha (Local)

Prediction 8.89%11.24fair odd
EV +6.73%
Edge +0.561%
Kelly +0.612%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.78%8.89%8.92%10.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7510.3810.5012.0012.90%9.63%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Visit)

Prediction 76.11%1.31fair odd
EV -0.291%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%76.09%76.10%77.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.241.3186.21%80.99%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.99%6.67fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.10%15.02%14.98%16.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.146.006.7518.87%16.29%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Slavia Praha (Local): 8.89%; Arsenal (Visit): 76.11%; Draw: 14.99%. For Slavia Praha (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.24. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +6.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +1.19%E +0.177%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.8%2026-10-22 00:39
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:20
betfred_uk🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:00
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.28%E +0.199%K +0.218%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 22:00
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.55%E -0.881%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 22:35
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 22:50
Sky Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 22:42
1xBet🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 9.05%EV -3.05%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.85%EV -1.05%E -0.809%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 15.10%EV -2.10%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-21 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:00
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:04
Betsson🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV -7.05%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
betPARX🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
FanDuel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-21 22:00
GTbets🎯10.33I 9.68%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.786%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.09%EV -0.291%E -0.222%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.39%EV -4.20%E -0.658%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-21 22:05
Fliff🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 8.97%EV -9.28%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.76%EV -7.05%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 22:34
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:04
picklebet_au🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-21 21:20
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-21 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -13.28%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 22:00
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -13.28%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 22:04
ReBet🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.38%EV -13.73%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.20%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -11.55%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -16.05%E -2.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 22:34
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-22 00:39
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.22%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -17.55%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -19.95%E -2.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-21 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -19.95%E -2.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.31%EV -10.19%E -8.63%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -17.55%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 9.92%EV -22.62%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.79%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.29%EV -20.54%E -3.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 10.94%EV -31.07%E -4.01%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 73.07%EV -11.71%E -10.09%K -73.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.99%EV -20.54%E -3.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-21 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎8.40I 11.90%NM 10.21%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.49%16.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:20
Arbitrage (9 combinations) +0.52%SportsBet 12.00 (8.4%) / GTbets 1.31 (76.7%) / Coolbet 6.75 (14.9%)Show all 9 combinations
Slavia Praha (Local)Arsenal (Visit)DrawMargin
Coolbet🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
SportsBet🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
betfred_uk🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
Paddy Power🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
Betr (AU)🎯 11.50 (8.7%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.5%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.8%)+0.154%
Coolbet🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
SportsBet🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
betfred_uk🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
Paddy Power🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%