Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Slavia Praha v Arsenal

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Slavia Praha (Local)

Prévision 8.89%11.24cote équitable
EV +6.73%
Avantage +0.561%
Kelly +0.612%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.78%8.89%8.92%10.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.7510.3810.5012.0012.90%9.63%9.52%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arsenal (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.11%1.31cote équitable
EV -0.291%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.07%76.09%76.10%77.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.231.241.3186.21%80.99%80.65%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 14.99%6.67cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.208%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.10%15.02%14.98%16.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.306.146.006.7518.87%16.29%16.67%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Slavia Praha (Local) : 8.89% ; Arsenal (Visiteur) : 76.11% ; Match nul : 14.99%. Pour Slavia Praha (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 11.24. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 12.00, pour une espérance positive de +6.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +1.19%E +0.177%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.8%2026-10-22 00:39
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:20
betfred_uk🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:00
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +6.73%E +0.561%K +0.612%G +0.041%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.28%E +0.199%K +0.218%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.29%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 22:00
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.07%EV -4.10%E -3.25%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.55%E -0.881%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 22:35
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 22:50
Sky Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.16%E -0.197%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 22:42
1xBet🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 9.05%EV -3.05%E -0.280%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.85%EV -1.05%E -0.809%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 15.10%EV -2.10%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-21 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -6.30%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:00
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:04
Betsson🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV -7.05%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
betPARX🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:35
FanDuel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -6.61%E -0.629%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-21 22:00
GTbets🎯10.33I 9.68%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.786%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.09%EV -0.291%E -0.222%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.39%EV -4.20%E -0.658%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-21 22:05
Fliff🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 8.97%EV -9.28%E -0.910%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.76%EV -7.05%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 22:34
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 22:04
picklebet_au🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-21 21:20
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -11.06%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-21 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -13.28%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 22:00
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -13.28%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -5.62%E -4.53%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -4.05%E -0.633%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 22:04
ReBet🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.38%EV -13.73%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.20%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -11.55%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -16.05%E -2.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 22:34
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.05%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-22 00:39
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -15.50%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.22%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -17.55%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-21 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -19.95%E -2.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.55%E -0.393%K -0.464%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-21 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -19.95%E -2.22%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.31%EV -10.19%E -8.63%K -56.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -17.55%E -3.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 9.92%EV -22.62%E -2.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.79%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.29%EV -20.54%E -3.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 10.94%EV -31.07%E -4.01%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 73.07%EV -11.71%E -10.09%K -73.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.99%EV -20.54%E -3.88%K -4.78%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-21 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎8.40I 11.90%NM 10.21%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.30%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.49%16.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%1.23I 81.30%NM 30.90%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.55%163.1%2026-10-21 22:20
Arbitrage (9 combinaisons) +0.52%SportsBet 12.00 (8.4%) / GTbets 1.31 (76.7%) / Coolbet 6.75 (14.9%)Afficher les 9 combinaisons
Slavia Praha (Local)Arsenal (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Coolbet🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
SportsBet🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
betfred_uk🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
Paddy Power🎯 12.00 (8.4%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.7%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.9%)+0.519%
Betr (AU)🎯 11.50 (8.7%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.5%)Coolbet🎯 6.75 (14.8%)+0.154%
Coolbet🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
SportsBet🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
betfred_uk🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%
Paddy Power🎯 12.00 (8.3%)GTbets🎯 1.31 (76.3%)1xBet🎯 6.53 (15.3%)+0.017%