La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Manchester City

Inizio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 33.69%2.97quota equa
EV -0.943%
Vantaggio -0.321%
Kelly -0.486%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.64%33.74%33.62%34.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.752.752.9438.46%36.30%36.36%34.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Manchester City (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.99%2.50quota equa
EV -0.824%
Vantaggio -0.332%
Kelly -0.557%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.98%39.97%40.01%41.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.352.4845.45%42.76%42.55%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.32%3.80quota equa
EV +2.64%
Vantaggio +0.676%
Kelly +0.909%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%26.28%26.37%27.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.603.603.9032.26%27.77%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 14:05
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 14:59
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 15:02
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%EV -0.943%E -0.321%K -0.486%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.72%EV -0.824%E -0.332%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.77%EV -3.15%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.02%E -0.826%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 14:59
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.42%EV -6.67%E -2.41%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.34%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 16:10
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 14:44
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -10.82%E -4.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -10.82%E -4.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.45%EV -5.79%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 13:50
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 13:49
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:04
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:04
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.15%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:46
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:04
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:05
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 15:40
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 13:49
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 13:48
Suprabets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.67%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 21:02
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 12:59
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 14:04
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:44
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 12:55
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.72%E -4.47%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.15%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-27 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -18.42%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%6.5%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29