مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Madrid v Manchester City

البداية: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.69%2.97السعر العادل
EV -0.943%
الأفضلية -0.321%
Kelly -0.486%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.64%33.74%33.62%34.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.752.752.9438.46%36.30%36.36%34.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Manchester City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.99%2.50السعر العادل
EV -0.824%
الأفضلية -0.332%
Kelly -0.557%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.98%39.97%40.01%41.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.342.352.4845.45%42.76%42.55%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.32%3.80السعر العادل
EV +2.64%
الأفضلية +0.676%
Kelly +0.909%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.01%26.28%26.37%27.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.603.603.9032.26%27.77%27.78%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%EV +2.64%E +0.676%K +0.909%G +0.024%2.4%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -6.82%E -2.93%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 14:05
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 14:59
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 15:02
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%EV -0.943%E -0.321%K -0.486%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.72%EV -0.824%E -0.332%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.77%EV -3.15%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.02%E -0.826%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 14:59
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.82%E -3.87%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.42%EV -6.67%E -2.41%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -2.82%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.34%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 16:10
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 13:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 14:44
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -10.82%E -4.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -10.82%E -4.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.45%EV -5.79%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 13:50
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.68%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 13:49
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:04
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:04
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.15%EV -7.63%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:46
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:05
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:04
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:05
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 15:40
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 13:49
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 13:48
Suprabets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.20%EV -4.99%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.67%EV -5.62%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 21:02
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 12:59
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 14:04
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:44
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 12:55
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 14:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.72%E -4.47%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.15%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-27 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -18.42%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-27 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%6.5%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%12.2%2026-02-27 15:29