La scuola delle quote

Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea

Inizio: 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Casa)

Previsione 53.82%1.86quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.40%53.79%53.89%54.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.56%57.14%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chelsea (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.36%4.47quota equa
EV +1.73%
Vantaggio +0.379%
Kelly +0.486%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.11%22.34%22.32%24.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.194.204.5526.67%23.86%23.81%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.82%4.20quota equa
EV +0.063%
Vantaggio +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.05%23.87%23.79%24.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.35%25.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:04
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:05
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.85%EV +0.832%E +0.184%K +0.237%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.69%EV -0.890%E -0.214%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.608%E +0.135%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 13:46
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:48
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 16:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 13:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.16%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.51%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.75%EV -8.75%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 15:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.72%EV -9.05%E -5.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -12.28%E -7.53%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -12.81%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 16:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -13.92%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.81%E -7.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.00%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%6.6%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54