La escuela de los momios

Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea

Inicio: 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Predicción 53.82%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.40%53.79%53.89%54.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.56%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chelsea (Visitante)

Predicción 22.36%4.47momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.486%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.11%22.34%22.32%24.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.204.5526.67%23.86%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +0.063%
Ventaja +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%23.87%23.79%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.35%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:04
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:05
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.85%EV +0.832%E +0.184%K +0.237%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.69%EV -0.890%E -0.214%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.608%E +0.135%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 13:46
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:48
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 16:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 13:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.16%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.51%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.75%EV -8.75%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 15:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.72%EV -9.05%E -5.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -12.28%E -7.53%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -12.81%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 16:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -13.92%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.81%E -7.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.00%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%6.6%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54