مدرسة الاحتمالات

Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea

البداية: 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.82%1.86السعر العادل
EV -2.59%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -3.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.40%53.79%53.89%54.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.56%57.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chelsea (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.36%4.47السعر العادل
EV +1.73%
الأفضلية +0.379%
Kelly +0.486%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.11%22.34%22.32%24.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.194.204.5526.67%23.86%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.82%4.20السعر العادل
EV +0.063%
الأفضلية +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.05%23.87%23.79%24.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.35%25.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:04
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:05
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.85%EV +0.832%E +0.184%K +0.237%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.69%EV -0.890%E -0.214%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.608%E +0.135%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 13:46
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:48
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 16:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 13:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.16%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.51%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.75%EV -8.75%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 15:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.72%EV -9.05%E -5.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -12.28%E -7.53%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -12.81%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 16:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -13.92%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.81%E -7.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.00%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-27 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%6.6%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54