L’École des cotes

Paris Saint Germain v Chelsea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prévision 53.82%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.40%53.79%53.89%54.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.741.751.8161.73%57.56%57.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chelsea (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.379%
Kelly +0.486%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.11%22.34%22.32%24.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.194.204.5526.67%23.86%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.82%4.20cote équitable
EV +0.063%
Avantage +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%23.87%23.79%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.954.2029.41%25.35%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:04
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +1.73%E +0.379%K +0.486%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 17:05
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%EV -2.59%E -1.43%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.85%EV +0.832%E +0.184%K +0.237%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.69%EV -0.890%E -0.214%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.5%2026-02-27 15:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.608%E +0.135%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 13:50
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 13:46
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.75%E -0.631%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV +0.063%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 13:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 13:48
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 13:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.19%E -0.737%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.28%E -3.00%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 16:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 14:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 15:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.39%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.32%E -0.566%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 13:49
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -3.67%E -2.05%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 15:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.13%E -1.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.36%E -3.65%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 14:59
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.89%E -3.99%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 15:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.97%E -4.66%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 13:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -9.59%E -5.71%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 13:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:02
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 13:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.66%E -6.42%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.16%EV -6.61%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.74%E -2.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.51%EV -8.51%E -5.01%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.75%EV -8.75%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 15:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.72%EV -9.05%E -5.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-27 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -12.28%E -7.53%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -12.81%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-27 16:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -13.92%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 14:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.82%E -3.32%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.70%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.81%E -7.91%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.00%E -5.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-27 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%6.6%2026-02-27 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-02-27 12:54