Language:English
Napoli v Arsenal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Napoli (Local)
Prediction 16.38%6.11fair odd
EV +6.46%
Edge +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.55%16.39%16.39%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.805.756.5019.23%17.23%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arsenal (Visit)
Prediction 59.12%1.69fair odd
EV -0.673%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -0.990%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.60%59.11%59.11%61.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.50%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.669%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.50%24.50%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.884.0028.17%25.99%25.77%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Napoli (Local): 16.38%; Arsenal (Visit): 59.12%; Draw: 24.50%. For Napoli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +6.46%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.076% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -9.54%E -6.24%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.66%EV +1.05%E +0.171%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.01%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.34%EV -2.74%E -0.690%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.092%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.092%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV -0.092%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV -0.092%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.34%EV -3.63%E -2.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.07I 16.47%NM 16.14%EV -0.584%E -0.096%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.37%EV -2.45%E -1.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.73%EV -0.911%E -0.151%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.86%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.90%EV -1.57%E -0.261%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.35%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.95%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.23%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -1.73%E -0.288%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.23%EV -2.55%E -0.428%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.88%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.23%EV -2.55%E -0.428%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.88%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.23%EV -2.55%E -0.428%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.88%EV -3.04%E -1.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.89%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.59%EV -2.71%E -0.457%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.65%EV -0.673%E -0.401%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.76%EV -2.50%E -0.627%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.56%EV -4.19%E -0.716%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.72%EV -2.45%E -1.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -3.97%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -5.01%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.97%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -5.01%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.54%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -5.01%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.54%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.01%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -5.01%E -0.863%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.60%EV -3.63%E -2.23%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV -6.64%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.58%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.78%EV -6.17%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -6.64%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -7.46%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -2.45%E -1.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -7.46%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -2.45%E -1.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -8.28%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -3.23%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -8.28%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.45%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.23%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -8.28%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.58%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -4.22%E -2.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.01%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -5.68%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.91%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.46%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.92%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.58%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -11.56%E -2.14%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.17%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -13.03%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -14.83%E -2.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.96%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.13%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.15% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.99% | 0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |