Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Napoli v Arsenal

2026-09-09 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Napoli (Casa)

Previsione 24.30%4.11quota equa
EV +0.124%
Vantaggio +0.030%
Kelly +0.040%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.10%24.31%24.28%26.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.773.754.1230.77%26.51%26.67%24.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arsenal (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.71%2.01quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.40%49.75%49.70%51.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.901.911.9758.82%52.65%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.99%3.85quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -0.680%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.73%25.95%26.01%27.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.553.7530.30%28.18%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Napoli (Casa): 24.30%; Arsenal (Trasferta): 49.71%; Pareggio: 25.99%. Per Napoli (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.11. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.12, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.124%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.65%EV +0.124%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.23%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.12%EV -3.07%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -0.362%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -3.33%E -0.895%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 19:44
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -0.362%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 20:30
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -1.58%E -0.389%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.21%EV -6.05%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:55
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.81%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -2.55%E -0.680%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 20:29
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:25
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.03%E -4.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:50
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 00:00
Suprabets🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.66%EV -5.71%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -8.53%E -4.64%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.45%EV -9.83%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:49
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.77%EV -5.95%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.67%EV -2.07%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -6.19%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:30
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:29
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.87%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.87%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 22:55
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:50
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -15.49%E -9.11%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.73%EV -8.27%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 19:03
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -7.54%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:00
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -7.54%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -13.01%E -7.43%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -9.53%E -5.23%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 19:00
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -16.16%E -4.68%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -17.37%E -5.11%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -21.02%E -6.47%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.20%EV -12.51%E -7.11%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -14.24%E -4.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-08-29 20:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%16.5%2026-08-30 01:05