StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli v Arsenal

2026-09-09 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli (Hemma)

Prognos 24.30%4.11rättvist odds
EV +0.124%
Fördel +0.030%
Kelly +0.040%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.10%24.31%24.28%26.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.773.754.1230.77%26.51%26.67%24.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Borta)

Prognos 49.71%2.01rättvist odds
EV -2.07%
Fördel -1.05%
Kelly -2.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.40%49.75%49.70%51.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.901.911.9758.82%52.65%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.99%3.85rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -0.680%
Kelly -0.927%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.73%25.95%26.01%27.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.553.553.7530.30%28.18%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Napoli (Hemma): 24.30%; Arsenal (Borta): 49.71%; Oavgjort: 25.99%. För Napoli (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.11. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.12, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.124%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.65%EV +0.124%E +0.030%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.23%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.12%EV -3.07%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -0.362%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -3.33%E -0.895%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 19:44
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -0.362%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 20:30
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -1.58%E -0.389%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.21%EV -6.05%E -3.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:55
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.81%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%EV -2.55%E -0.680%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 20:29
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:25
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.79%E -0.698%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.03%E -4.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:50
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 00:00
Suprabets🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.66%EV -5.71%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -8.53%E -4.64%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.45%EV -9.83%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:49
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.77%EV -5.95%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.67%EV -2.07%E -1.05%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.56%EV -6.19%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:30
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:29
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.87%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.87%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 22:55
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 20:50
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -3.56%E -1.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.92%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -15.49%E -9.11%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.73%EV -8.27%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 19:03
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -7.54%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:00
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -7.54%E -4.05%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.51%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -13.01%E -7.43%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -9.53%E -5.23%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 19:00
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -16.16%E -4.68%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -17.37%E -5.11%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -21.02%E -6.47%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.20%EV -12.51%E -7.11%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -14.24%E -4.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-08-29 20:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%16.5%2026-08-30 01:05