默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester United v Sabah FK

开赛时间: 2026-09-10 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Manchester United 4–0 Sabah FK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester United (主队)

预测 85.41%1.17公平赔率
EV -0.928%
优势 -0.800%
Kelly -5.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.16

博彩公司预测分布
83.02%85.43%85.36%87.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.111.111.1693.46%90.21%90.09%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sabah FK (客队)

预测 4.31%23.22公平赔率
EV +24.91%
优势 +0.859%
Kelly +0.890%
增长率 +0.222%

假设最高赔率为 29.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.41%4.30%4.24%5.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
16.0021.3321.0029.006.25%4.69%4.76%3.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.29%9.72公平赔率
EV +18.29%
优势 +1.59%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.319%

假设最高赔率为 11.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.23%10.27%10.40%12.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.109.509.5011.5014.08%10.52%10.53%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Manchester United (主队):85.41%;Sabah FK (客队):4.31%;平局:10.29%。 对于“Sabah FK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为23.22。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为29.00,对应+24.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.76%E -7.19%K -97.01%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%5.6%2026-09-09 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.2%2026-09-09 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.2%2026-09-09 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.22%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.4%2026-09-09 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.76%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.77%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%2.3%2026-09-08 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%4.9%2026-09-09 16:21
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%5.7%2026-09-09 08:44
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 13:45
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.5%2026-09-09 13:45
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.5%2026-09-09 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.13%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.8%2026-09-09 16:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.50%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%7.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.50%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%7.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.90%EV -1.25%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:05
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:11
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 05:04
Sky Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 13:46
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.91%EV -1.78%E -1.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.41%EV +24.91%E +0.859%K +0.890%G +0.222%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.68%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.2%2026-09-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.90%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.40%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.90%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.40%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 09:30
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.37%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.07%G +0.000%19.45I 5.14%NM 4.70%EV -16.23%E -0.834%K -0.879%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.93%EV -5.37%E -0.583%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:46
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.68%EV -0.928%E -0.800%K -5.80%G +0.000%21.76I 4.60%NM 4.51%EV -6.28%E -0.288%K -0.302%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.81%EV -6.50%E -0.715%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-09 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.24%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 12:11
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 19:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:11
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.07%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -31.09%E -1.94%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.23%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.25I 4.30%NM 4.11%EV +0.142%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.67%EV -7.94%E -0.887%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.67%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.46%EV +20.60%E +0.736%K +0.763%G +0.157%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.88%EV -8.45%E -0.950%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 16:46
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.01%EV -20.32%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.77%EV -11.54%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.67%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -5.24%E -0.238%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 05:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:49
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.94%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.52%EV +16.29%E +0.603%K +0.627%G +0.102%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -15.14%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV -5.24%E -0.238%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -15.14%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.73%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -17.71%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.43%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.25I 3.81%NM 3.60%EV +13.06%E +0.498%K +0.517%G +0.068%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.97%EV -18.74%E -2.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:46
Suprabets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.01%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.98%EV -26.97%E -3.80%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:51
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.71%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.71%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.9%2026-09-09 13:31