Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Manchester United v Sabah FK

Początek: 2026-09-10 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Manchester United 4–0 Sabah FK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Manchester United (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 85.41%1.17kurs godziwy
EV -0.928%
Przewaga -0.800%
Kelly -5.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
83.02%85.43%85.36%87.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.111.111.1693.46%90.21%90.09%86.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sabah FK (Goście)

Prognoza 4.31%23.22kurs godziwy
EV +24.91%
Przewaga +0.859%
Kelly +0.890%
Wzrost +0.222%

przy maksymalnym kursie 29.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
3.41%4.30%4.24%5.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
16.0021.3321.0029.006.25%4.69%4.76%3.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 10.29%9.72kurs godziwy
EV +18.29%
Przewaga +1.59%
Kelly +1.74%
Wzrost +0.319%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.23%10.27%10.40%12.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.109.509.5011.5014.08%10.52%10.53%8.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Manchester United (Gospodarze): 85.41%; Sabah FK (Goście): 4.31%; Remis: 10.29%. Dla wyniku Sabah FK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 23.22. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 29.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +24.91%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.25%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%2.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.76%E -7.19%K -97.01%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +18.29%E +1.59%K +1.74%G +0.319%5.6%2026-09-09 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.12%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.10%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%4.6%2026-09-09 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.2%2026-09-09 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.2%2026-09-09 08:45
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.22%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +8.01%E +0.762%K +0.843%G +0.067%5.4%2026-09-09 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.76%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.77%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%2.3%2026-09-08 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.92%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%4.9%2026-09-09 16:21
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%5.7%2026-09-09 08:44
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-09 13:45
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.5%2026-09-09 13:45
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.5%2026-09-09 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.13%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%6.8%2026-09-09 16:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.50%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%7.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.50%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +2.86%E +0.286%K +0.318%G +0.009%7.3%2026-09-09 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.90%EV -1.25%E -0.130%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:05
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:11
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 05:04
Sky Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -2.28%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 13:46
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.91%EV -1.78%E -1.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.41%EV +24.91%E +0.859%K +0.890%G +0.222%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.68%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.2%2026-09-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.90%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.40%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.90%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +11.99%E +0.461%K +0.479%G +0.057%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.40%EV -4.85%E -0.525%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 09:30
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.37%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.07%G +0.000%19.45I 5.14%NM 4.70%EV -16.23%E -0.834%K -0.879%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.93%EV -5.37%E -0.583%K -0.654%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:46
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.68%EV -0.928%E -0.800%K -5.80%G +0.000%21.76I 4.60%NM 4.51%EV -6.28%E -0.288%K -0.302%G +0.000%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.81%EV -6.50%E -0.715%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-09 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.24%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:40
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 12:11
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 19:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:11
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -26.78%E -1.58%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:00
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.07%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -31.09%E -1.94%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -7.42%E -0.825%K -0.928%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 13:45
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.23%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.25I 4.30%NM 4.11%EV +0.142%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.67%EV -7.94%E -0.887%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.67%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.85%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.46%EV +20.60%E +0.736%K +0.763%G +0.157%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.88%EV -8.45%E -0.950%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 16:46
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.01%EV -20.32%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.77%EV -11.54%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.71%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.67%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -5.24%E -0.238%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 05:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.31%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -12.57%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:49
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.94%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.52%EV +16.29%E +0.603%K +0.627%G +0.102%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -15.14%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.53%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV -5.24%E -0.238%K -0.250%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -15.14%E -1.83%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.73%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -13.86%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -17.71%E -2.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.43%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.21%G +0.000%26.25I 3.81%NM 3.60%EV +13.06%E +0.498%K +0.517%G +0.068%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.97%EV -18.74%E -2.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 15:46
Suprabets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.01%EV -0.935%E -0.041%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.98%EV -26.97%E -3.80%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:51
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.83%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.8%2026-09-09 13:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.71%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%0.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.71%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.63%0.9%2026-09-09 13:31