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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
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Manchester City v Napoli

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Manchester City (Hemma)

Prognos 75.95%1.32rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -2.79%
Kelly -13.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.71%75.88%75.92%78.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.26%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Napoli (Borta)

Prognos 9.12%10.97rättvist odds
EV +9.40%
Fördel +0.783%
Kelly +0.854%
Tillväxt +0.080%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.00%9.23%9.22%11.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.0010.4210.5012.0012.50%9.59%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.94%6.69rättvist odds
EV +3.06%
Fördel +0.444%
Kelly +0.519%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.65%14.89%14.86%15.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.606.276.256.9017.86%15.95%16.00%14.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Manchester City (Hemma): 75.95%; Napoli (Borta): 9.12%; Oavgjort: 14.94%. För Napoli (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.97. 16 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 12.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +9.40%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.30%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.52%EV +0.971%E +0.144%K +0.169%G +0.002%1.9%2026-11-05 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.8%2026-11-05 12:38
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.08%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.00%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.92%EV +3.06%E +0.444%K +0.519%G +0.016%4.1%2026-11-05 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.88%EV -3.66%E -0.567%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.79%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.4%2026-11-05 07:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-05 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-05 11:54
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.61%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.00%EV -3.46%E -0.327%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.39%EV -7.54%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:39
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.58%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.23I 9.78%NM 9.21%EV -6.74%E -0.659%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.21%EV -0.971%E -0.146%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-05 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-05 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.94%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.86%E -7.39%K -44.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-05 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -11.90%E -10.26%K -74.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-05 09:39
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.33%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.30%EV -19.78%E -2.25%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-05 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%8.5%2026-11-05 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -8.10%E -6.70%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-05 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 74.99%EV -12.66%E -11.01%K -84.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.87%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-05 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.71%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.63%EV -24.79%E -3.00%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.23%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -27.07%E -3.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-05 10:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 72.41%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%16.1%2026-11-05 09:30