La scuola delle quoteodds.school
Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
+ Nuovo modelloTutti i modelli

Manchester City v Napoli

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester City (Casa)

Previsione 75.95%1.32quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -2.79%
Kelly -13.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.71%75.88%75.92%78.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.26%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Napoli (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.12%10.97quota equa
EV +9.40%
Vantaggio +0.783%
Kelly +0.854%
Crescita +0.080%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.00%9.23%9.22%11.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.4210.5012.0012.50%9.59%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 14.94%6.69quota equa
EV +3.06%
Vantaggio +0.444%
Kelly +0.519%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.65%14.89%14.86%15.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.276.256.9017.86%15.95%16.00%14.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Manchester City (Casa): 75.95%; Napoli (Trasferta): 9.12%; Pareggio: 14.94%. Per Napoli (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 10.97. 16 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 12.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +9.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.30%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.52%EV +0.971%E +0.144%K +0.169%G +0.002%1.9%2026-11-05 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.8%2026-11-05 12:38
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.08%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.00%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.92%EV +3.06%E +0.444%K +0.519%G +0.016%4.1%2026-11-05 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.88%EV -3.66%E -0.567%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.79%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.4%2026-11-05 07:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-05 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-05 11:54
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.61%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.00%EV -3.46%E -0.327%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.39%EV -7.54%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:39
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.58%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.23I 9.78%NM 9.21%EV -6.74%E -0.659%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.21%EV -0.971%E -0.146%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-05 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-05 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.94%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.86%E -7.39%K -44.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-05 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -11.90%E -10.26%K -74.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-05 09:39
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.33%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.30%EV -19.78%E -2.25%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-05 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%8.5%2026-11-05 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -8.10%E -6.70%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-05 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 74.99%EV -12.66%E -11.01%K -84.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.87%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-05 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.71%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.63%EV -24.79%E -3.00%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.23%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -27.07%E -3.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-05 10:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 72.41%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%16.1%2026-11-05 09:30