Die Wettquotenschulewettquoten.schule
StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
+ Neues ModellAlle Modelle

Manchester City v Napoli

2026-11-24 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Direkter Vergleich

35 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Manchester City (Heim)

Prognose 75.95%1.32faire Quote
EV -3.55%
Vorteil -2.79%
Kelly -13.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.71%75.88%75.92%78.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.26%81.30%78.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Napoli (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.12%10.97faire Quote
EV +9.40%
Vorteil +0.783%
Kelly +0.854%
Wachstum +0.080%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.00%9.23%9.22%11.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.0010.4210.5012.0012.50%9.59%9.52%8.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.94%6.69faire Quote
EV +3.06%
Vorteil +0.444%
Kelly +0.519%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.65%14.89%14.86%15.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.606.276.256.9017.86%15.95%16.00%14.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Manchester City (Heim): 75.95%; Napoli (Auswärts): 9.12%; Unentschieden: 14.94%. Für Napoli (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.97. 16 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 12.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +9.40%.

Wettanbieterquoten (35 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.30%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.52%EV +0.971%E +0.144%K +0.169%G +0.002%1.9%2026-11-05 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28%EV -3.55%E -2.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.9%2026-11-05 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.99%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 09:39
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.70%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.03%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.27%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.8%2026-11-05 12:38
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.08%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.00%EV +9.40%E +0.783%K +0.854%G +0.080%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.92%EV +3.06%E +0.444%K +0.519%G +0.016%4.1%2026-11-05 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.88%EV -3.66%E -0.567%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.79%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV +4.84%E +0.421%K +0.461%G +0.022%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.4%2026-11-05 07:50
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -5.07%E -4.05%K -20.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -6.65%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-05 09:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.279%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-05 11:54
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.61%EV -4.31%E -3.42%K -16.56%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.00%EV -3.46%E -0.327%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.39%EV -7.54%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-05 09:39
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -4.28%E -0.408%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.58%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.23I 9.78%NM 9.21%EV -6.74%E -0.659%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.21%EV -0.971%E -0.146%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-05 07:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-05 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -5.83%E -4.70%K -24.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-05 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.94%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-05 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.86%E -7.39%K -44.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.11%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-05 09:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -11.90%E -10.26%K -74.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -13.40%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-05 09:39
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.33%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.30%EV -19.78%E -2.25%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -11.87%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-05 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +0.822%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%8.5%2026-11-05 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -8.10%E -6.70%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-05 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 74.99%EV -12.66%E -11.01%K -84.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.87%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-05 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.71%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.63%EV -24.79%E -3.00%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-05 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.23%EV -9.62%E -8.09%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -27.07%E -3.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-05 10:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (1)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 72.41%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%16.1%2026-11-05 09:30