The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Inter Milan v Club Brugge

2026-10-13 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Milan (Local)

Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -10.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.30%72.41%72.58%75.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.31%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Brugge (Visit)

Prediction 10.27%9.74fair odd
EV +11.95%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 10.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.84%10.28%10.31%12.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.038.5010.9013.79%11.08%11.76%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.658%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.68%17.31%17.11%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.955.305.106.0020.20%18.88%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Inter Milan (Local): 72.51%; Club Brugge (Visit): 10.27%; Draw: 17.22%. For Club Brugge (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.74. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.90, producing a positive expected value of +11.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.98%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 9.03%EV +11.95%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.144%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.99%EV -0.323%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.98%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 9.02%EV +10.41%E +0.968%K +1.07%G +0.111%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.00%EV -1.87%E -0.328%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.07%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.07%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.29%E +0.549%K +0.658%G +0.022%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.43%E -0.256%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -2.43%E -0.256%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +1.57%E +0.266%K +0.321%G +0.005%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.24%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.35%EV -5.51%E -0.599%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -0.151%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.45%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.22%EV -6.23%E -0.682%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.34%EV -1.70%E -0.298%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -7.56%E -0.840%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:17
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -7.56%E -0.840%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.20%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.22%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.57%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.95%EV -14.75%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.48%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.03%EV -16.81%E -2.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.51%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -17.83%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -1.87%E -0.328%K -0.398%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -17.83%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -10.48%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.06%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.40%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.66%EV -14.78%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.88%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -25.54%E -3.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.09%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 69.70%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.49%17.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 29.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.52%163.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 29.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.52%163.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 28.78%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.47%171.5%2026-09-12 14:20