Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Milan v Club Brugge

2026-10-13 19:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Milan (Local)

Previsão 72.51%1.38odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -10.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.30%72.41%72.58%75.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.31%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Previsão 10.27%9.74odd justa
EV +11.95%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.84%10.28%10.31%12.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.259.038.5010.9013.79%11.08%11.76%9.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.22%5.81odd justa
EV +3.29%
Vantagem +0.549%
Kelly +0.658%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.68%17.31%17.11%18.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.955.305.106.0020.20%18.88%19.61%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Inter Milan (Local): 72.51%; Club Brugge (Visitante): 10.27%; Empate: 17.22%. Para Club Brugge (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 9.74. 10 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 10.90, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +11.95%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.98%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 9.03%EV +11.95%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.144%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.99%EV -0.323%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.98%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 9.02%EV +10.41%E +0.968%K +1.07%G +0.111%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.00%EV -1.87%E -0.328%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.07%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.07%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.29%E +0.549%K +0.658%G +0.022%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +7.84%E +0.747%K +0.826%G +0.065%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +2.71%E +0.271%K +0.301%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.43%E -0.256%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -2.43%E -0.256%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +1.57%E +0.266%K +0.321%G +0.005%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.24%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.35%EV -5.51%E -0.599%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -0.151%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.45%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.22%EV -6.23%E -0.682%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.34%EV -1.70%E -0.298%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -7.56%E -0.840%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:17
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.58%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -7.56%E -0.840%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.78%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.20%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV -10.64%E -1.22%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.70%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.32%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.57%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.95%EV -14.75%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.48%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.03%EV -16.81%E -2.07%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.51%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -17.83%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -1.87%E -0.328%K -0.398%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -17.83%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -10.48%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.06%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.40%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.66%EV -14.78%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.88%EV -10.81%E -8.79%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -25.54%E -3.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.09%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 69.70%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.49%17.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 29.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.52%163.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 29.66%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.52%163.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 28.78%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.75%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.47%171.5%2026-09-12 14:20