Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Aston Villa

2026-09-08 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 35.73%2.80fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%35.72%35.75%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.622.632.7642.55%38.21%38.10%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aston Villa (Visit)

Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.37%38.02%37.95%38.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.5344.44%40.79%40.82%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%26.26%26.31%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.503.7530.77%28.25%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Club Brugge (Local): 35.73%; Aston Villa (Visit): 38.00%; Draw: 26.27%. For Club Brugge (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.76, with an expected value of -1.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.35%EV -1.39%E -0.503%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.56%EV -3.85%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -1.75%E -0.469%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -2.10%E -0.768%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:44
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.26%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.17%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:29
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.05%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%EV -9.18%E -3.84%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.63%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 19:12
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 20:50
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.81%EV -9.25%E -3.64%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.60%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.90%EV -9.61%E -3.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.54%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:28
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.75%E -4.76%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.00%EV -11.84%E -5.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -16.04%E -6.82%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.50%E -6.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.13%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-29 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%16.4%2026-08-29 18:30