StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Club Brugge v Aston Villa

2026-09-08 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Club Brugge (Heim)

Prognose 35.73%2.80faire Quote
EV -1.39%
Vorteil -0.503%
Kelly -0.789%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.08%35.72%35.75%36.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.352.622.632.7642.55%38.20%38.02%36.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Aston Villa (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.00%2.63faire Quote
EV -3.85%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -2.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.37%38.02%37.95%38.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.452.452.5344.44%40.77%40.82%39.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.27%3.81faire Quote
EV -1.49%
Vorteil -0.397%
Kelly -0.542%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.56%26.26%26.31%26.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.543.503.7530.77%28.22%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Club Brugge (Heim): 35.73%; Aston Villa (Auswärts): 38.00%; Unentschieden: 26.27%. Für Club Brugge (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.80. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.76, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.39%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.35%EV -1.39%E -0.503%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.56%EV -3.85%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -1.75%E -0.469%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -2.10%E -0.768%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:44
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.26%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.17%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:29
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.05%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%EV -9.18%E -3.84%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.63%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 19:12
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 20:50
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.81%EV -9.25%E -3.64%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.60%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.90%EV -9.61%E -3.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.54%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:28
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.75%E -4.76%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.00%EV -11.84%E -5.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -16.04%E -6.82%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.50%E -6.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.13%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-29 22:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%16.4%2026-08-29 18:30