Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Aston Villa

2026-09-08 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Previsão 35.73%2.80odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.503%
Kelly -0.789%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.08%35.72%35.75%36.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.622.632.7642.55%38.20%38.02%36.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aston Villa (Visitante)

Previsão 38.00%2.63odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.37%38.02%37.95%38.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.452.452.5344.44%40.77%40.82%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.397%
Kelly -0.542%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.56%26.26%26.31%26.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.543.503.7530.77%28.22%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Club Brugge (Local): 35.73%; Aston Villa (Visitante): 38.00%; Empate: 26.27%. Para Club Brugge (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.76, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.35%EV -1.39%E -0.503%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.56%EV -3.85%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.09%EV -1.75%E -0.469%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -2.10%E -0.768%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:44
GTbets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.26%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.17%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 18:29
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.05%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -2.28%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.80%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%EV -9.18%E -3.84%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.63%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 19:12
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 18:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -9.56%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 20:50
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.81%EV -9.25%E -3.64%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.60%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.90%EV -9.61%E -3.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.54%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -10.16%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:28
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -11.75%E -4.76%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.00%EV -11.84%E -5.10%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -16.04%E -6.82%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.50%E -6.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.13%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-29 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%3.8%2026-08-29 21:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%16.4%2026-08-29 18:30