Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona v Feyenoord

2026-09-09 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barcelona (Local)

Prediction 82.68%1.21fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -25.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.08%82.69%82.74%84.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.131.141.1694.34%88.15%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Feyenoord (Visit)

Prediction 6.10%16.38fair odd
EV +11.41%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 18.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.31%6.11%6.13%8.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0014.8915.0018.2510.00%6.71%6.67%5.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.21%8.92fair odd
EV +6.53%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.22%11.20%11.13%13.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.258.198.009.5016.00%12.21%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barcelona (Local): 82.68%; Feyenoord (Visit): 6.10%; Draw: 11.21%. For Feyenoord (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.38. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 18.25, producing a positive expected value of +11.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.27%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 5.31%EV +11.41%E +0.625%K +0.662%G +0.076%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.42%EV +4.28%E +0.460%K +0.516%G +0.022%3.2%2026-08-29 19:40
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.14%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.42%EV +9.89%E +0.549%K +0.582%G +0.057%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.44%EV +4.84%E +0.518%K +0.580%G +0.028%2.5%2026-08-29 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.39%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.39%EV +9.89%E +0.549%K +0.582%G +0.057%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%3.0%2026-08-29 18:37
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-29 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.77%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -24.31%E -3.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 22:45
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%16.51I 6.06%NM 5.79%EV +0.790%E +0.048%K +0.051%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.76%EV -8.84%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.95%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.09%EV -3.57%E -0.415%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.42%EV -12.36%E -11.66%K -205.95%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.53%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.46I 6.47%NM 6.11%EV -5.62%E -0.363%K -0.389%G +0.000%9.16I 10.92%NM 10.31%EV +2.71%E +0.296%K +0.332%G +0.009%5.9%2026-08-30 01:15
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:20
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.96%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.92%EV -13.66%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:51
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.44%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.40%EV -13.01%E -0.913%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:53
Suprabets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.20%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -14.53%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.23%EV -8.05%E -0.982%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 19:39
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.98%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.60%EV -16.06%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.42%EV -18.14%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.07%EV -17.59%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:49
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.74%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -23.69%E -1.90%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -1.88%E -0.215%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.74%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -23.69%E -1.90%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -1.88%E -0.215%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -26.74%E -2.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 78.08%EV -10.70%E -9.91%K -133.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.43%EV -38.95%E -3.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.49%EV -29.92%E -4.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%18.6%2026-08-29 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.84%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.07%3.4%2026-08-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.84%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.07%3.4%2026-08-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.42%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%8.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 78.08%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.74%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%17.5%2026-08-29 18:50