Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barcelona v Feyenoord

2026-09-09 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barcelona (Local)

Prévision 82.68%1.21cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -3.52%
Kelly -25.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.08%82.69%82.74%84.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.131.141.1694.34%88.12%87.72%86.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Feyenoord (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.10%16.38cote équitable
EV +11.41%
Avantage +0.625%
Kelly +0.662%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 18.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.31%6.11%6.13%8.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0014.8915.0018.2510.00%6.71%6.67%5.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 11.21%8.92cote équitable
EV +6.53%
Avantage +0.687%
Kelly +0.768%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.22%11.20%11.13%13.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.258.208.009.5016.00%12.20%12.50%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Barcelona (Local) : 82.68% ; Feyenoord (Visiteur) : 6.10% ; Match nul : 11.21%. Pour Feyenoord (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 16.38. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 18.25, pour une espérance positive de +11.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.27%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 5.31%EV +11.41%E +0.625%K +0.662%G +0.076%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.42%EV +4.28%E +0.460%K +0.516%G +0.022%3.2%2026-08-29 19:40
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.14%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.42%EV +9.89%E +0.549%K +0.582%G +0.057%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.44%EV +4.84%E +0.518%K +0.580%G +0.028%2.5%2026-08-29 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.39%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.39%EV +9.89%E +0.549%K +0.582%G +0.057%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%3.0%2026-08-29 18:37
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.89%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-29 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.77%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +3.78%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.009%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -24.31%E -3.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 22:45
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%16.51I 6.06%NM 5.79%EV +0.790%E +0.048%K +0.051%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.76%EV -8.84%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.95%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.96%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.09%EV -3.57%E -0.415%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.34%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.42%EV -12.36%E -11.66%K -205.95%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.53%EV -2.32%E -0.145%K -0.155%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.46I 6.47%NM 6.11%EV -5.62%E -0.363%K -0.389%G +0.000%9.16I 10.92%NM 10.31%EV +2.71%E +0.296%K +0.332%G +0.009%5.9%2026-08-30 01:15
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.77%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -1.88%E -0.215%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:15
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:55
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 18:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:20
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.74%E -5.04%K -41.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 00:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.57%E -5.81%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.96%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.92%EV -13.66%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 18:51
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -8.43%E -0.562%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.44%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.40%EV -13.01%E -0.913%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:53
Suprabets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.20%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -14.53%E -1.04%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.23%EV -8.05%E -0.982%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 19:39
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.98%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.60%EV -16.06%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.42%EV -18.14%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.09%E -3.52%K -25.56%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.07%EV -17.59%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.8%2026-08-29 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.69%E -0.552%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:49
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.22%E -7.41%K -74.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.64%E -1.59%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 21:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.74%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -23.69%E -1.90%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -1.88%E -0.215%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.74%EV -4.92%E -4.27%K -32.77%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -23.69%E -1.90%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.74%EV -1.88%E -0.215%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.40%E -6.60%K -61.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -26.74%E -2.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 78.08%EV -10.70%E -9.91%K -133.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.43%EV -38.95%E -3.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.49%EV -29.92%E -4.79%K -5.70%G +0.000%18.6%2026-08-29 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.84%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.07%3.4%2026-08-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.84%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.07%3.4%2026-08-29 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.42%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%8.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 78.08%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.74%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%17.5%2026-08-29 18:50