La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Atlético Madrid

Inizio: 2026-04-07 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

33 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 58.53%1.71quota equa
EV -0.507%
Vantaggio -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.87%58.54%58.57%60.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.581.7066.67%62.86%63.29%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.55%5.11quota equa
EV +7.53%
Vantaggio +1.37%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescita +0.126%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.06%19.50%19.52%20.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.744.705.5023.26%21.10%21.28%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.92%4.56quota equa
EV +10.71%
Vantaggio +2.12%
Kelly +2.64%
Crescita +0.283%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.82%21.96%21.91%26.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.334.335.0527.78%23.09%23.09%19.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.53%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV +10.71%E +2.12%K +2.64%G +0.283%5.2%2026-03-19 05:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.53%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV +10.71%E +2.12%K +2.64%G +0.283%5.2%2026-03-19 05:35
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.96%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.55%EV +8.52%E +1.72%K +2.16%G +0.184%3.3%2026-03-19 10:59
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.97%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +3.04%E +0.646%K +0.821%G +0.025%8.9%2026-03-19 07:31
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -4.20%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.845%E +0.184%K +0.235%G +0.002%5.0%2026-03-19 10:10
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.86%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.83%EV +0.691%E +0.134%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.251%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 01:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 10:09
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 10:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 10:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 15:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 15:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 15:29
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 12:30
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.97%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.61%E -0.732%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 22.05%EV -2.00%E -0.448%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-19 00:20
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.54%E -0.804%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 10:09
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 07:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.15%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 07:45
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.73%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.73%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 00:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -15.93%E -3.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:10
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.10%EV +4.21%E +0.790%K +0.972%G +0.041%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -9.68%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 06:54
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.24%E -0.448%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.24%E -0.448%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -12.31%E -3.08%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -11.04%E -7.26%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -13.40%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-19 07:11
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.11%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.77%EV -16.25%E -4.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 00:23
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -17.13%E -4.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-19 00:08
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +7.53%E +1.37%K +1.67%G +0.126%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -21.08%E -5.85%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.21%E -8.14%K -24.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -21.08%E -5.85%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-19 03:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%10.7%2026-03-19 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%10.7%2026-03-19 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%10.7%2026-03-19 11:00
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 68.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 15.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 16.33%36.1%2026-03-19 11:29