La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Barcelona v Atlético Madrid
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barcelona (Local)
Predicción 58.53%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.507%
Ventaja -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.87%58.54%58.57%60.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.581.7066.67%62.86%63.29%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético Madrid (Visitante)
Predicción 19.55%5.11momio equitativo
EV +7.53%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.126%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.06%19.50%19.52%20.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.744.705.5023.26%21.10%21.28%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV +10.71%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +2.64%
Crecimiento +0.283%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.82%21.96%21.91%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.334.335.0527.78%23.09%23.09%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.53%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV +10.71%E +2.12%K +2.64%G +0.283% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 05:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.53%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV +10.71%E +2.12%K +2.64%G +0.283% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 05:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.96%EV -5.17%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.55%EV +8.52%E +1.72%K +2.16%G +0.184% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 10:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.97%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +3.04%E +0.646%K +0.821%G +0.025% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 07:31 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -4.20%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV +0.845%E +0.184%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.86%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.83%EV +0.691%E +0.134%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.251%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 10:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 10:10 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.35%E -0.299%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.97%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.61%E -0.732%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 22.05%EV -2.00%E -0.448%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.54%E -0.804%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 10:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.15%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.73%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.73%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.06%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.83%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -15.93%E -3.70%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.92%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.48%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.10%EV +4.21%E +0.790%K +0.972%G +0.041% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -9.68%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 06:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.24%E -0.448%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.24%E -0.448%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -12.31%E -3.08%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -11.04%E -7.26%K -21.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -13.40%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-19 07:11 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -14.50%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.11%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.13%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.77%EV -16.25%E -4.26%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 00:23 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.11%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -17.13%E -4.53%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-19 00:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +7.53%E +1.37%K +1.67%G +0.126% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -21.08%E -5.85%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.21%E -8.14%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -21.08%E -5.85%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-19 03:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64% | 10.7% | 2026-03-19 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64% | 10.7% | 2026-03-19 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64% | 10.7% | 2026-03-19 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 68.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 15.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 16.33% | 36.1% | 2026-03-19 11:29 |