Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.91%51.11%51.08%54.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.781.801.8960.98%56.16%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)

Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV +4.82%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.14%23.72%23.96%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.993.934.4027.78%25.03%25.45%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.94%25.16%24.97%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.693.703.9331.25%27.10%27.03%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trabzonspor (Local): 51.07%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 23.82%; Draw: 25.11%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -14.21%E -8.46%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +3.63%E +0.834%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV +0.293%E +0.070%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -6.08%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 16:50
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.88%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.43%EV -1.37%E -0.332%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.31%E -0.333%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.52%E -0.869%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betsson🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.07%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.17%EV -7.34%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%EV -11.15%E -6.41%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:47
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.10%E -5.11%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.05%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.45%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.02%EV -16.25%E -9.91%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.24%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.74%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-14 16:50