La escuela de los momios

Trabzonspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Inicio: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.91%51.11%51.08%54.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.781.801.8960.98%56.16%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante)

Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +4.82%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.14%23.72%23.96%25.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.993.934.4027.78%25.03%25.45%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.94%25.16%24.97%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.693.703.9331.25%27.10%27.03%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:24
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -14.21%E -8.46%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +3.63%E +0.834%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV +0.293%E +0.070%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -6.08%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 16:50
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.88%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.43%EV -1.37%E -0.332%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.31%E -0.333%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.52%E -0.869%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:50
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:45
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:49
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.07%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.17%EV -7.34%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:24
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:39
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%EV -11.15%E -6.41%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:47
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.10%E -5.11%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.05%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:24
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.45%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.02%EV -16.25%E -9.91%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.24%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.74%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-14 16:50