L’École des cotes

Trabzonspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 51.07%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.91%51.11%51.08%54.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.781.801.8960.98%56.16%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.82%4.20cote équitable
EV +4.82%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.14%23.72%23.96%25.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.993.934.4027.78%25.03%25.45%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.333%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%25.16%24.97%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.693.703.9331.25%27.10%27.03%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:24
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.06%E -0.529%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:24
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -13.19%E -7.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV +4.82%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.068%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -14.21%E -8.46%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +3.63%E +0.834%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:25
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.14%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -15.74%E -9.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.383%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV +0.293%E +0.070%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -6.08%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 16:50
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.88%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.43%EV -1.37%E -0.332%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.31%E -0.333%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.52%E -0.869%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:50
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.32%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 16:45
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 16:55
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 49.96%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.61%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:49
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 16:55
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.07%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.17%EV -7.34%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:24
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:39
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 16:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%EV -11.15%E -6.41%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.67%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:47
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.64%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.10%E -5.11%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.05%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 16:24
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.45%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -11.66%E -6.74%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.02%EV -16.25%E -9.91%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.24%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.74%EV -18.39%E -5.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-14 16:50