Language:English
Samsunspor v Galatasaray
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samsunspor (Local)
Prediction 20.65%4.84fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.302%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.98%20.59%20.59%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.574.604.9025.00%21.89%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galatasaray (Visit)
Prediction 56.09%1.78fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.61%56.23%56.06%57.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.651.7065.36%60.91%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.835%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 4.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%23.19%23.35%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.973.954.4628.57%25.16%25.32%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsunspor (Local): 20.65%; Galatasaray (Visit): 56.09%; Draw: 23.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.52%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.80%EV +3.72%E +0.835%K +1.08%G +0.040% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 06:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.00%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 06:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV -6.46%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.44%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.63%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 04:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.75%EV +0.767%E +0.157%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.56%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.14%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.45%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.30%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.40%E -4.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 06:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.02%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.72%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.16%EV -13.05%E -8.42%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.27%E -3.16%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -14.17%E -9.26%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -18.60%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 0.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |