A Escola das Odds

Samsunspor v Galatasaray

Início: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Final: Samsunspor 4–1 Galatasaray

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Samsunspor (Local)

Previsão 20.65%4.84odd justa
EV +1.18%
Vantagem +0.241%
Kelly +0.302%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.98%20.59%20.59%22.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.574.604.9025.00%21.89%21.74%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Previsão 56.09%1.78odd justa
EV -4.64%
Vantagem -2.73%
Kelly -6.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.61%56.23%56.06%57.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.641.651.7065.36%60.91%60.61%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.26%4.30odd justa
EV +3.72%
Vantagem +0.835%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.80%23.19%23.35%24.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.973.954.4628.57%25.16%25.32%22.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.52%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.80%EV +3.72%E +0.835%K +1.08%G +0.040%2.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 07:05
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 07:05
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 06:16
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:10
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.00%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 06:15
GTbets4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV -6.46%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.44%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.63%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 04:41
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:40
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 07:05
Pinnacle4.88I 20.49%NM 19.75%EV +0.767%E +0.157%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.56%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 16:50
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.14%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.45%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.30%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 16:35
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:35
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:45
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:15
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:15
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:05
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:40
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:24
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.40%E -4.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:15
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:15
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 16:15
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 07:05
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.02%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.72%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:55
NordicBet4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:49
Betsson4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Bovada4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 16:54
BetUS4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 16:55
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 16:15
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:14
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:15
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:15
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.16%EV -13.05%E -8.42%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 16:55
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 16:41
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.27%E -3.16%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:35
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 07:05
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 16:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -14.17%E -9.26%K -26.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -18.60%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 16:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%0.1%2026-05-02 16:55
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-02 16:54
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-05-02 16:55