La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Samsunspor v Galatasaray
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Samsunspor (Local)
Predicción 20.65%4.84momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.302%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.98%20.59%20.59%22.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.574.604.9025.00%21.89%21.74%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Galatasaray (Visitante)
Predicción 56.09%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -6.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.61%56.23%56.06%57.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.651.7065.36%60.91%60.61%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.26%4.30momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +0.835%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.80%23.19%23.35%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.973.954.4628.57%25.16%25.32%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.52%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.80%EV +3.72%E +0.835%K +1.08%G +0.040% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 06:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.00%E -4.88%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -2.32%E -0.553%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 06:15 |
| GTbets | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV -6.46%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.44%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.63%EV -2.56%E -0.610%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 04:41 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.75%EV +0.767%E +0.157%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.56%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.14%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -12.24%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.45%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.30%EV -5.81%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +1.18%E +0.241%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -9.69%E -6.02%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.40%E -4.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 06:15 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| betPARX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -0.885%E -0.184%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -8.57%E -5.25%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.14%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.02%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.72%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:49 |
| Betsson | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.97%EV -8.32%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Everygame | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -1.92%E -0.404%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.30%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Bovada | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| BetUS | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -3.98%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.07%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -11.37%E -7.20%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -2.95%E -0.628%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.93%E -7.60%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.34%E -3.74%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.16%EV -13.05%E -8.42%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.46%E -2.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.27%E -3.16%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.13%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.32%E -3.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -10.59%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.25%E -6.41%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -7.08%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -14.17%E -9.26%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -18.60%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 16:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 0.1% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 0.3% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 16:54 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 16:55 |