Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kocaelispor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Kocaelispor 2–0 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.53%42.38%42.42%43.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.84%45.77%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -0.907%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.98%27.95%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.5432.26%30.13%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.64%29.63%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.923.153.153.3034.25%31.74%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 42.37%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 27.99%; Draw: 29.64%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.54, with an expected value of -0.907%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.67%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -0.907%E -0.256%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:05
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.90%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV -2.79%E -0.849%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:06
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:09
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 06:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 02:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.94%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 14:02
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 01:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.07%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.05%EV -8.71%E -2.83%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 15:21
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 05:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 09:49
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 01:06
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 09:51
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05%EV -10.18%E -4.80%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.53%EV -13.46%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.88%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%4.1%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.43%5.3%2026-09-18 14:55