L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Kocaelispor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Kocaelispor 2–0 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prévision 42.37%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.53%42.38%42.42%43.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.84%45.77%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.907%
Avantage -0.256%
Kelly -0.357%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%27.98%27.95%29.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.303.5432.26%30.13%30.30%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.64%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.953%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%29.64%29.63%30.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.153.153.3034.25%31.74%31.75%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kocaelispor (Local) : 42.37% ; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur) : 27.99% ; Match nul : 29.64%. Pour Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.54, pour une espérance de -0.907% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.67%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -0.907%E -0.256%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:05
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.90%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV -2.79%E -0.849%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:06
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:09
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 06:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 02:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.94%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 14:02
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 01:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.07%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.05%EV -8.71%E -2.83%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 15:21
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 05:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 09:49
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 01:06
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 09:51
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05%EV -10.18%E -4.80%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.53%EV -13.46%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.88%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%4.1%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.43%5.3%2026-09-18 14:55