La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kocaelispor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Kocaelispor 2–0 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Predicción 42.37%2.36momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.53%42.38%42.42%43.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.84%45.77%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)

Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -0.907%
Ventaja -0.256%
Kelly -0.357%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%27.98%27.95%29.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.303.5432.26%30.13%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.64%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.953%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%29.64%29.63%30.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.923.153.153.3034.25%31.74%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kocaelispor (Local): 42.37%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante): 27.99%; Empate: 29.64%. Para Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.54, con un valor esperado de -0.907%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.67%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -4.86%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -0.907%E -0.256%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:05
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.90%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV -2.79%E -0.849%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 09:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:06
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.14%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -1.75%E -0.498%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 03:09
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 11:31
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 06:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.22%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 02:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.94%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 14:02
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.19%E -0.665%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 01:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.07%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.05%EV -8.71%E -2.83%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 15:21
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 05:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 09:49
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 10:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 01:06
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 09:51
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05%EV -10.18%E -4.80%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.53%EV -13.46%E -4.61%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.88%EV -11.87%E -5.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%4.1%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.43%5.3%2026-09-18 14:55