Language:English
Kocaelispor v Besiktas JK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kocaelispor (Local)
Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV +0.963%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.66%27.61%29.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.6532.26%30.00%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Besiktas JK (Visit)
Prediction 44.05%2.27fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.43%44.11%44.03%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.092.102.2052.63%47.83%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.29%3.54fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%28.23%28.36%29.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.23%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 27.66%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 44.05%; Draw: 28.29%. For Kocaelispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.963%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV +0.963%E +0.264%K +0.363%G +0.003% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV +0.133%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -4.29%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.10%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 05:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 06:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 01:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 05:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 22:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 07:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -15.86%E -8.31%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -18.53%E -6.43%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-02-28 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.27%EV -10.93%E -3.39%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.26%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.78%E -6.45%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 10:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.90%EV -16.30%E -8.58%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.44%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -12.87%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-26 01:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |