La escuela de los momios

Kocaelispor v Besiktas JK

Inicio: 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kocaelispor (Local)

Predicción 27.66%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.963%
Ventaja +0.264%
Kelly +0.363%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.11%27.66%27.61%29.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.303.6532.26%30.00%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Besiktas JK (Visitante)

Predicción 44.05%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.43%44.11%44.03%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.092.102.2052.63%47.83%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.29%3.54momio equitativo
EV -0.992%
Ventaja -0.283%
Kelly -0.397%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.23%28.36%29.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.23%30.12%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV +0.963%E +0.264%K +0.363%G +0.003%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 11:00
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV +0.133%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 06:14
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 06:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:49
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 04:29
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 15:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:00
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 09:14
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -4.29%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:00
GTbets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.10%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 11:00
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:00
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:00
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 22:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:30
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:00
Betsson3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:23
NordicBet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 06:49
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 01:09
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:24
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:25
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:24
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 04:29
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 11:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:15
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:14
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 22:39
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 07:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -15.86%E -8.31%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -18.53%E -6.43%K -9.86%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 06:50
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 28.27%EV -10.93%E -3.39%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.26%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 01:54
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 01:14
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.78%E -6.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 10:58
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.90%EV -16.30%E -8.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.44%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 11:00
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -12.87%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 01:10
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:15
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-02-28 11:00