L’École des cotes

Kocaelispor v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.963%
Avantage +0.264%
Kelly +0.363%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.11%27.66%27.61%29.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.6532.26%30.00%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.05%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.43%44.11%44.03%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.092.102.2052.63%47.83%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.29%3.54cote équitable
EV -0.992%
Avantage -0.283%
Kelly -0.397%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%28.23%28.36%29.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.23%30.12%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV +0.963%E +0.264%K +0.363%G +0.003%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 11:00
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV +0.133%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.58%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 06:14
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.09%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -6.08%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 06:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.420%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:49
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 04:29
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 15:25
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 16:05
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:00
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.19%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 09:14
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -4.29%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:00
GTbets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.10%EV -4.95%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 11:00
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:00
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.57%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.37%E -4.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:00
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 22:44
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:30
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:00
Betsson3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:23
NordicBet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 06:49
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 01:09
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:24
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:25
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 05:24
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 04:29
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 11:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:15
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -0.992%E -0.283%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:14
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 22:39
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 07:50
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -11.90%E -5.95%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -15.86%E -8.31%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -18.53%E -6.43%K -9.86%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 06:50
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 28.27%EV -10.93%E -3.39%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -8.81%E -4.26%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 01:54
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:14
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:15
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.41%E -0.697%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 01:14
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.78%E -6.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 10:58
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.90%EV -16.30%E -8.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.44%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-28 11:00
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -12.87%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 01:10
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-26 01:15
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.70%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 01:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-02-28 11:00
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-02-28 11:00