Language:English
Kocaelispor v Basaksehir
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kocaelispor (Local)
Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%28.51%28.43%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.183.253.5835.71%31.41%30.77%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Basaksehir (Visit)
Prediction 42.96%2.33fair odd
EV +0.100%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.28%42.79%43.00%45.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.192.172.3352.36%45.77%46.19%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV +0.333%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.133%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%28.69%28.57%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.78%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 28.37%; Basaksehir (Visit): 42.96%; Draw: 28.67%. For Kocaelispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV +1.57%E +0.439%K +0.610%G +0.010% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV +0.333%E +0.095%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -0.130%E -0.037%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.49%E -3.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 16:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -10.27%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.78%EV -7.41%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 16:47 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -17.94%E -9.39%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -8.92%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.07%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.94%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -2.05%E -0.898%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |