La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kocaelispor v Basaksehir
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kocaelispor (Local)
Predicción 28.37%3.52momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.439%
Kelly +0.610%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%28.51%28.43%32.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.253.5835.71%31.41%30.77%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Basaksehir (Visitante)
Predicción 42.96%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.100%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.28%42.79%43.00%45.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.192.172.3352.36%45.77%46.19%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.333%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%28.69%28.57%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.78%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV +1.57%E +0.439%K +0.610%G +0.010% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV +0.333%E +0.095%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -0.130%E -0.037%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.49%E -3.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 16:48 |
| Betsson | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -10.27%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.78%EV -7.41%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 16:47 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -17.94%E -9.39%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:50 |
| GTbets | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -8.92%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.07%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.94%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 16:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -2.05%E -0.898%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 16:40 |