L’École des cotes

Kocaelispor v Basaksehir

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prévision 28.37%3.52cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.13%28.51%28.43%32.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.253.5835.71%31.41%30.77%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Basaksehir (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.96%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.100%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.28%42.79%43.00%45.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.192.172.3352.36%45.77%46.19%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.333%
Avantage +0.095%
Kelly +0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%28.69%28.57%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.78%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV +1.57%E +0.439%K +0.610%G +0.010%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV +0.333%E +0.095%K +0.133%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 16:55
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -0.130%E -0.037%K -0.051%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:50
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 16:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 16:54
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.697%E -0.199%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:54
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:55
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:40
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 16:55
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -8.84%E -2.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:55
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:55
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.49%E -3.99%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 16:48
Betsson3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -10.27%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 16:55
NordicBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -5.80%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.78%EV -7.41%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:40
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:45
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:45
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -8.06%E -3.77%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 16:47
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -6.37%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -17.94%E -9.39%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 16:55
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:45
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.79%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.49%E -2.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:50
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -8.92%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.07%EV -7.20%E -3.34%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.94%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 16:55
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:40
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 16:45
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:54
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 16:45
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.63%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 16:44
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.46%E -4.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.93%E -5.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.78%E -4.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 16:40
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:40
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -16.30%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV +0.100%E +0.043%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.53%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:40
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -17.72%E -6.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -2.05%E -0.898%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -3.97%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 16:40
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -3.34%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 16:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -20.56%E -7.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-04-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-04-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-04-06 16:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-04-06 16:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-04-06 16:55
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-06 16:40