Language:English
Kayserispor v Trabzonspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kayserispor (Local)
Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +0.977%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%27.53%27.70%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.403.7532.26%29.02%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Trabzonspor (Visit)
Prediction 46.81%2.14fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.89%46.77%49.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.951.952.0756.18%51.35%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.58%25.53%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.613.8532.26%27.80%27.70%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayserispor (Local): 27.64%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 46.81%; Draw: 25.55%. For Kayserispor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV +3.67%E +0.977%K +1.33%G +0.049% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -7.52%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +0.901%E +0.247%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -1.59%E -0.446%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.79%E -3.95%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.07%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.64%E -0.427%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.98%E -2.45%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.83%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -13.40%E -7.25%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -6.85%E -3.44%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -9.19%E -4.74%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-09 16:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -20.80%E -6.71%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.71%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.49%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-09 16:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.26%E -4.21%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.95%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.94%EV -16.68%E -9.37%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -18.25%E -5.70%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 0.2% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |