Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayserispor v Trabzonspor

Início: 2026-03-09 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayserispor (Local)

Previsão 27.64%3.62odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +0.977%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.11%27.53%27.70%28.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.453.403.7532.26%29.02%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Trabzonspor (Visitante)

Previsão 46.81%2.14odd justa
EV -3.11%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%46.89%46.77%49.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.951.952.0756.18%51.35%51.28%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.55%3.91odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.427%
Kelly -0.576%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.65%25.58%25.53%27.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.603.613.8532.26%27.80%27.70%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kayserispor (Local): 27.64%; Trabzonspor (Visitante): 46.81%; Empate: 25.55%. Para Kayserispor (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.62. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV +3.67%E +0.977%K +1.33%G +0.049%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -7.52%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:25
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:24
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +0.901%E +0.247%K +0.340%G +0.003%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -1.59%E -0.446%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.79%E -3.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.07%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 03:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:25
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 16:54
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 16:44
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 16:44
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:44
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 16:54
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.64%E -0.427%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 16:55
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.98%E -2.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 16:50
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 16:50
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 16:55
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 16:44
GTbets🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 27.83%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:55
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -13.40%E -7.25%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 16:50
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -6.85%E -3.44%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 16:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -9.19%E -4.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:55
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 16:50
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -20.80%E -6.71%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.71%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.49%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 16:53
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.26%E -4.21%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 16:54
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 26.95%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 46.94%EV -16.68%E -9.37%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -18.25%E -5.70%K -8.29%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-09 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%0.2%2026-03-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-03-09 16:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-09 16:45