L’École des cotes

Kayserispor v Trabzonspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kayserispor (Local)

Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV +3.67%
Avantage +0.977%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.11%27.53%27.70%28.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.403.7532.26%29.02%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Trabzonspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.81%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%46.89%46.77%49.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.951.952.0756.18%51.35%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.55%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.58%25.53%27.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.613.8532.26%27.80%27.70%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV +3.67%E +0.977%K +1.33%G +0.049%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -7.52%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 16:54
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:25
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:25
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:24
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:24
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +2.28%E +0.617%K +0.846%G +0.019%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:25
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +0.901%E +0.247%K +0.340%G +0.003%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 16:24
Marathon Bet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -1.59%E -0.446%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.79%E -3.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.07%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 03:05
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:25
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 16:24
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 16:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 16:54
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 16:44
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.92%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 16:44
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:44
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 16:54
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.25%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 16:44
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.64%E -0.427%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 16:55
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 16:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.98%E -2.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 16:50
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 16:55
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 16:50
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 16:55
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -9.56%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 16:55
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 16:44
GTbets3.39I 29.50%NM 27.83%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:55
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -13.40%E -7.25%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 16:50
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -6.85%E -3.44%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 16:55
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:54
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -9.19%E -4.74%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 16:55
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 16:50
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.60%E -5.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -14.34%E -7.84%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -20.80%E -6.71%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -10.71%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.49%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 16:53
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 16:44
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.26%E -4.21%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 16:49
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -10.13%E -5.27%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-09 16:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -12.92%E -4.10%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -12.00%E -6.38%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 16:54
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-09 16:55
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.95%EV -14.30%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 46.94%EV -16.68%E -9.37%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -18.25%E -5.70%K -8.29%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-09 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%0.2%2026-03-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-03-09 16:45
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-03-09 16:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-09 16:45