Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kayserispor v Torku Konyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Kayserispor 2–1 Torku Konyaspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kayserispor (Local)

Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.66%51.11%51.11%52.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.831.8959.88%55.11%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.428%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.61%24.68%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.0028.57%26.33%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.39%24.29%24.21%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.763.754.0230.77%26.62%26.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayserispor (Local): 51.09%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 24.68%; Draw: 24.23%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -1.53%E -0.383%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -3.81%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.48%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.73%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 01:25
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.52%E -0.637%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -2.60%E -0.646%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:21
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 23:50
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.77%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.18%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.12%EV -7.20%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 23:50
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.06%E -5.09%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.56%EV -14.68%E -8.79%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.98%EV -21.25%E -6.54%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-05-17 08:11
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-17 10:39