La escuela de los momios

Kayserispor v Torku Konyaspor

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Kayserispor 2–1 Torku Konyaspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kayserispor (Local)

Predicción 51.09%1.96momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.66%51.11%51.11%52.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.811.831.8959.88%55.11%54.64%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Torku Konyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 24.68%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.428%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.61%24.68%25.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.803.804.0028.57%26.33%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -0.860%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.39%24.29%24.21%25.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.763.754.0230.77%26.62%26.67%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -1.53%E -0.383%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -3.81%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:50
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.48%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.73%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 01:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.52%E -0.637%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -2.60%E -0.646%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:01
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:21
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 23:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:50
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.77%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.18%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.12%EV -7.20%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:31
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 23:50
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:36
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.06%E -5.09%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:31
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:15
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.56%EV -14.68%E -8.79%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.98%EV -21.25%E -6.54%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-05-17 08:11
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-17 10:39