L’École des cotes

Kayserispor v Torku Konyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Score final : Kayserispor 2–1 Torku Konyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kayserispor (Local)

Prévision 51.09%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.66%51.11%51.11%52.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.811.831.8959.88%55.11%54.64%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Torku Konyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.68%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.428%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.61%24.68%25.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.803.804.0028.57%26.33%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.23%4.13cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -0.860%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%24.29%24.21%25.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.763.754.0230.77%26.62%26.67%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -1.53%E -0.383%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.42%EV -3.81%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:50
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.46%E -2.38%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.48%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.73%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 01:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.52%E -0.637%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -2.60%E -0.646%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:11
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 00:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:01
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:21
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 23:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:30
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.962%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 00:31
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 23:50
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.77%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.18%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.12%EV -7.20%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:31
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -12.39%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -7.01%E -3.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 23:50
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.26%E -0.831%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -9.38%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.05%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.04%E -4.46%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:36
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.55%E -4.77%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -9.06%E -5.09%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.92%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:15
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:31
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -9.57%E -5.41%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.98%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 00:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -1.28%E -0.321%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:15
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:15
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.61%E -6.71%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.56%EV -14.68%E -8.79%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.46%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.98%EV -21.25%E -6.54%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-05-17 08:11
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-17 10:39