A Escola das Odds

Kayserispor v Fenerbahce

Início: 2026-04-11 17:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kayserispor (Local)

Previsão 15.51%6.45odd justa
EV +0.795%
Vantagem +0.122%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.21%15.54%15.64%17.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.106.056.056.5019.61%16.52%16.52%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce (Visitante)

Previsão 63.38%1.58odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -5.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.56%63.31%63.21%65.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.18%69.44%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.11%4.74odd justa
EV +0.265%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.65%21.15%21.16%23.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.364.404.7526.67%22.91%22.73%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:01
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:01
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:01
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:01
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:01
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:50
Pinnacle6.42I 15.58%NM 15.04%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 16:59
Betsson6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:00
NordicBet6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
1xBet6.29I 15.90%NM 15.43%EV -2.46%E -0.391%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.84%EV -3.66%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.73%EV -1.21%E -0.259%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:58
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.82%E -4.64%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:59
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -10.63%E -7.54%K -25.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:00
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 17:01
GTbets6.06I 16.50%NM 15.39%EV -6.03%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Marathon Bet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 17:01
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +0.265%E +0.056%K +0.071%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:01
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.07%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -20.84%E -5.56%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:01
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:00
LowVig.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:01
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:00
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 17:01
Fliff5.45I 18.35%NM 15.93%EV -15.49%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.90%EV -12.53%E -9.08%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 17:01
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:01
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.96%EV -11.90%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -18.59%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -20.91%E -4.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 17:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%2.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39%3.0%2026-04-11 17:00