La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kayserispor v Fenerbahce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kayserispor (Local)
Predicción 15.51%6.45momio equitativo
EV +0.795%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.145%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.21%15.54%15.64%17.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.106.056.056.5019.61%16.52%16.52%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fenerbahce (Visitante)
Predicción 63.38%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -5.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.56%63.31%63.21%65.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.18%69.44%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.11%4.74momio equitativo
EV +0.265%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.65%21.15%21.16%23.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.364.404.7526.67%22.91%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.04%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Betsson | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.43%EV -2.46%E -0.391%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.84%EV -3.66%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.73%EV -1.21%E -0.259%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.82%E -4.64%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -10.63%E -7.54%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| GTbets | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.39%EV -6.03%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +0.265%E +0.056%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.07%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -20.84%E -5.56%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Fliff | 5.45I 18.35%NM 15.93%EV -15.49%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.90%EV -12.53%E -9.08%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.96%EV -11.90%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -18.59%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -20.91%E -4.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |