L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Kayserispor v Fenerbahce
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Kayserispor (Local)
Prévision 15.51%6.45cote équitable
EV +0.795%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.145%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.21%15.54%15.64%17.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.056.056.5019.61%16.52%16.52%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.38%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.56%63.31%63.21%65.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.18%69.44%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.11%4.74cote équitable
EV +0.265%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.071%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.65%21.15%21.16%23.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.404.7526.67%22.91%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.04%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Betsson | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Casumo | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.43%EV -2.46%E -0.391%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.84%EV -3.66%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.73%EV -1.21%E -0.259%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.82%E -4.64%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -10.63%E -7.54%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| GTbets | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.39%EV -6.03%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +0.265%E +0.056%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.07%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -20.84%E -5.56%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| 888sport | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Fliff | 5.45I 18.35%NM 15.93%EV -15.49%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.90%EV -12.53%E -9.08%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.96%EV -11.90%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-11 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -18.59%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -20.91%E -4.10%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |